What Are The Odds Arctic Monkeys Play These Songs?

Arctic Monkeys are currently on tour in Europe in support of the recently released sixth LP, Tranquility Base Hotel & Casino. With 18-dates already behind them and 55 more to go, we can't help but be on the edge of our seats waiting to see what Arctic Monkeys will play each night. Even though this is the band's Tranquility Base Hotel & Casino tour, they have been pulling tracks from their whole career and no setlist has been the same as the night before. The constants so far have been "One Point Perspective," "Four Out of Five," "Do I Wanna Know?," "Cornerstone," and "R U Mine?," leaving us lots of room to predict what else they will be filling their setlists with.

So we did our calculations and crunched some serious numbers to see how likely it is that a few of our favorite tracks will make their setlist. Here are the odds!

"Fireside" - 45.9%

This track has hit the stage many times since its release in 2013, 80 times to be exact. These odds are almost as if you could flip a coin to decide the track's fate, we would like it to be better but simply can't complain.

"The Hellcat Spangled Shalala" - 37.2%

The 2011 single has been performed a handful of times on this tour so far but these odds and our optimistic attitude has us feeling good that we continue to see it throughout this run.

"Dancing Shoes" - 45.0%

Being one of the band's most performed songs, with nearly 400 performances, we are pretty pleased with our chances of seeing this song live.

"Potion Approaching" - 23.1%

Even though we should be understanding of these odds since this track hasn't seen the light of day since 2011, we don't want to be understanding, and are going to keep hope alive with the 23.1% chance.

"A Certain Romance" - 30.0%

We, along with many fans, are calling on Arctic Monkeys to bring this out of the vault. Even though these odds are low we are hoping they hear our call and bring this track back to the stage.

"Mardy Bum" - 25.6%

Not to be bias or anything, but we would consider this to be one of Arctic Monkey's very best songs. We've wonder why this isn't being performed at every show but I guess "beggars can't be choosers."

Check out the remainder of the tour dates below!

Arctic Monkeys 2018 Tour Dates:

06/22-24 – Neuhausen Ob Eck, DE @ Southside Festival

06/22-24 – Scheeßel, DE @ Hurricane Festival

06/26 – Dusseldorf, DE @ Mitsubishi Electric Halle

06/27 – Copehagen, DK @ Royal Arena

07/01 – Glasgow, UK @ TRNSMT Festival

07/04 – Gdynia, PL @ Open’er Festival

07/06 – Athens, GR @ Rockwave Festival

07/08 – Werchter, BE @ Rock Werchter

07/12 – Lisbon, PT @ NOS Alive Festival

07/13 – Madrid, ES @ Mad Cool Festival

07/24 – Queens, NY @ Forest Hills Stadium

07/25 – Canandigua, NY @ CMAC

07/27 – Boston, MA @ TD Garden

07/28 – Washington, DC @ The Anthem

07/31 – Pittsburgh, PA @ Petersen Events Center

08/01 – Detroit, MI @ Masonic Temple Theatre

08/02 – Chicago, IL @ Lollapalooza

08/04 – Montreal, QC @ Osheaga Festival

08/05 – Toronto, ON @ Air Canada Centre

08/08 – Oslo, NO @ Oya Festival

08/09 – Gothenburg, SE @ Way Out West Festival

08/11 – Helsinki, FI @ Flow Festival

08/14 – Budapest, HR @ Sziget Festival

09/06 – Manchester, UK @ Arena ^

09/07 – Manchester, UK @ Arena ^

09/09 – London, UK @ The O2 ^

09/10 – London, UK @ The O2 ^

09/12 – London, UK @ The O2 ^

09/13 – London, UK @ The O2 ^

09/15 – Birmingham, UK @ Arena ^

09/16 – Birmingham, UK @ Arena ^

09/18 – Sheffield, UK @ Flydsa Arena ^

09/19 – Sheffield, UK @ Flydsa Arena ^

09/21 – Sheffield, UK @ Flydsa Arena ^

09/22 – Sheffield, UK @ Flydsa Arena ^

09/24 – Dublin, IE @ 3Arena ^

09/25 – Dublin, IE @ 3Arena ^

09/27 – Newcastle, UK @ Metro Radio Arena ^

09/28 – Newcastle, UK @ Metro Radio Arena ^

10/09 – Dallas, TX @ South Side Ballroom *

1010 – Oklahoma City, OK @ The Criterion *

10/12 – Houston, TX @ Revention Music Center *

10/16 – Los Angeles, CA @ Hollywood Bowl ^*

10/19 – Santa Barbara, CA @ Santa Barbara Bowl *

10/20 – San Francisco, CA @ Bill Graham Civic Auditorium *

10/23 – Seattle, WA @ WaMu Theater *

10/24 – Portland, OR @ Veterans Memorial Coliseum *

10/25 – Vancouver, BC @ Pacific Coliseum *

^ = w/ The Lemon Twigs

* = w/ Mini Mansions

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